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If 1995 is considered the arrival of the browser and the rise of the Web,
then 2005 was the year to take stock of what those 10 years hath wrought --
the browser, the Web, the impact of the Internet across all walks of life.
But more than 10-year birthday parties for Java and the Web filled out the
year.
Spyware, spam, virus writers for hire -- the usual suspects were in great
supply throughout 2005. So was the rise of virtualization and 64-bit
computing and more storage needs to cope and comply with Sarbanes-Oxley.
Open source projects spread even farther into the IT ecosystem, and the
world's largest software company gave us a peek at the next version of
Windows.
From the Supreme Court on down to blogs and wikis, herewith, a list
of some of the biggest trends and stories that hit the IT world in 2005.
Virtualization Hits The Industry, Virtually
Virtualization, which usually includes running multiple operating systems or
applications on one machine, has run on IBM mainframes for 40 years or so.
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But, as The 451 Group tells us, virtualization is one of the technologies
that is driving utility computing -- still a nascent practice.
"Between IT vendors and early adopters, there is an area of consensus that
'baby steps' on the road to 'utility' models begin with server
consolidation, virtualization, examination of metering and charge-back
options," the research firm said in a recent report.
Virtualization is also a factor in deciding how software vendors charge
their customers, thanks to the proliferation of multi-core machines from
IBM, Sun Microsystems, HP and Dell.
Intel and AMD have added virtualization features to their chips, and Vmware
may still be the server virtualization king, but open source companies like
Xen are challenging the throne. Xen recently released version 3.0 of its
product.
IDC research indicates that spending on virtualization will rocket to nearly $15 billion worldwide by 2009.
To cut costs by consolidating servers, customers are partitioning smaller
two- and four-way x86 volume servers with special software that helps carve
up space on a server to run multiple operating systems or applications.
More Cores All Around
If the rise of dual- and multi-core didn't top any "biggest news" lists in chips this year, then there is certainly enough material to make it big in 2006.
AMD caught Intel's and the rest of the industry's attention with the release of its dual-core Opteron processors, which found their way into
powerful servers from HP, IBM and Sun Microsystems, among others.
There was a lot of speculation about when Dell would join the AMD party, but
its competitors didn't complain. They loved having something to market
that the king of direct computer sales didn't.
Intel has been slow out the dual-core gate, but revved
up as the year went on and has now committed to moving most of its
product line to dual- and multi-core.
Its newest line of consumer
processors for Viiv PCs, set for release in early 2006, will all be dual-core,
as will new "Yonah" notebook processors. Sun finished the year strong with
the December announcement of servers based on its new eight-core, UltraSparc T1 processor.
Sun also said it open sourced elements of the UltraSparc T1 processor's design.
64-Bit, Multi-Core Computing Arrives
It's been a hot discussion topic with the IT set ever since
AMD debuted its Opteron processor two years ago. But 64-bit computing is not
exactly a new hot topic.
DEC (Digital Equipment Corporation) is widely
credited with breaking into the market with its Alpha 64-bit processor (for
RISC-based architecture), released in 1992.
But timing is always a key factor with adoption. Fast forward to 2005:
64-bit is gaining momentum, thanks to an old-fashioned horse race between
AMD and Intel.
Throughout the year, both companies ramped up their efforts to push the
envelope beyond their workhorse 32-bit processors. They also have multi-core
architecture strategies in their roadmaps, which gives x86 64-bit
architectures plenty of room to grow.
And while analysts suggest there is no "there, there" yet for 64-bit
applications, Microsoft is making sure 2005 set the stage for more 64-bit
applications in the coming year.
Two years after the launch of AMD's Opteron processors and its 64-bit
extensions to classic x86 architecture, a robust computing ecosystem is
finally growing around dual-core, 64-bit computing.
With Microsoft's long-awaited shipment of Windows Server 2003 and Windows XP Professional x64 Editions, as well as AMD's growing list of satisfied customers
using its Opteron dual-core CPU for volume needs, the word is spreading
about its ability to deliver cheaper, more powerful computing.
AMD Takes on Intel
AMD got plenty of publicity with its controversial antitrust lawsuit against Intel. One case in Japan was decided in AMD's favor, but the U.S. case isn't expected to go to trial until 2007.
Intel vigorously denied AMD's charge that it's an abusive monopoly. A new controversy arose over how much should be revealed during what's expected to be a lengthy discovery process. AMD has to walk a delicate balance of wanting to publicize Intel's business dealings, while at the same time not alienating its customers by dragging them into the case.
Whither Itanium?
Intel's highest end processor, Itanium, lumbered on in 2005 despite constant barbs by competitors and the embarrassing news that Montecito, the first dual-core version, would be delayed until mid-2006.
Intel's allies formed the Itanium Solutions Alliance group late in 2005 to pump up developer support.
Microsoft's New Openness
With thousands of developer bloggers spilling the beans, and with more
community technology preview (CTP) releases that show the warts in evolving
products -- and with Bill Gates actually committing to ship dates -- Microsoft revealed itself as a major software provider in the midst of
changing the way it produces products.
Some of the company's major moves this year included its big hug of Software
as a Service and when it announced ad-supported online versions of its Office productivity suite and Windows
operating systems.
The tech world got its first peek at Microsoft's next-generation operating
system, Vista, back in July. With all kinds of new graphical features, the
Vista beta promised to focus on the fundamentals of security, deployment,
manageability, reliability and diagnostics.
According to Microsoft, image-based setup is less error-prone than scripted
installation.
The Windows Pre-installation Environment lets administrators configure
Windows offline to diagnose and troubleshoot the hardware before launching
the setup process.
They can use the Application Compatibility Toolkit (ACT) to identify,
analyze and resolve issues with non-standard applications being migrated to
Windows Vista.
Web Services for Management (WS-Management) makes it easier to run scripts
remotely and to perform other management tasks. Microsoft Management Console
3.0 (MMC 3.0) provides a common framework for management tools, making them
easier to find and use, with richer graphical user interfaces that let
admins run multiple tasks in parallel.
It also got a little more comfy with the concept of open source, such as
taking dramatic steps to simplify
its open source-style shared source licenses by paring the number it offers
down to three.
Microsoft Settles Up
Microsoft settled its
last big anti-competition suit, inking a deal with Real Networks with a $761 million cash payment and vows to cooperate.
Real sued
Microsoft in December 2003, charging that Redmond violated state and federal
antitrust laws when it used its Windows monopoly to limit choice in digital
media players.
Meanwhile, Microsoft slogged ahead with its defense of the 2004 ruling by
the European Competition Commission that it had abused its monopoly power,
shipping
a version of Windows sans media player as ordered.
But in December, the company got slammed by a similar ruling by the Korea Fair Trade Commission.
Open Source Linux Trends 2005
Linux and other open source technologies continued their upward growth
and adoption curves in 2005. IBM was perhaps the biggest winner in the Linux
sweepstakes reported the third quarter of the year it had hit $1 billion in
revenues from Linux.
Version 2.6.14 was the latest of four major Linux kernels released to see the light this year. Novell opened up its SUSE Linux development and Red Hat released its Enterprise Linux version 4, which introduced SE Linux (Security Enhanced) to enterprise customers.
Debian picked up steam this year with the long-awaited release of Sarge, as well as some big wins by way of Sun Wah Linux in China and Ubuntu earning IBM certification status.
IBM had other open source news, including the announcement that it opened up its IP coffers with a huge patent grant.
Sun is another vendor that had its share of open source news this year. In perhaps
the most noteworthy open source release of the year, Sun's Solaris, which for
years has been synonymous with "proprietary" Unix, opened under the OpenSolaris project.
Contributing Writers: Clint Boulton, Tim Gray, Colin Haley, Erin Joyce, Sean Michael Kerner, Susan Kuchinskas, Roy Mark, David Needle, Catherine Pickavet, Jim Wagner.
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